So I have been dusting off my Excel knowledge (not going as smoothly as I had hoped) and have been collecting information together for the ‘08 election. It is taking some time but I thought I would share information as I collect it together.

First thing I find interesting is how stable the polling has been for the most part on the Democratic side. Right now I have twelve national polls in the sheet from January 07 until this very week of July 07. In that time there has been little movement. The following shows you Sen. Clinton vs. Sen. Obama vs John Edwards in the last seven months. (Click to enlarge)

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From the Associated Press:

THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, 43 percent

Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, 27 percent

Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, 17 percent

No opinion, 9 percent

___

THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICAN

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, 30 percent

Arizona Sen. John McCain, 21 percent

Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, 18 percent

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 6 percent

No opinion, 11 percent

RealClearPolitics has the story of New State Polls: IA, FL, OH, PA, & GA and things are looking up for Fred Thompson who is now either first or second in all five states and he hasn’t even announced yet.

Meanwhile Clinton still leads in all five states and specifically in three states is beating Obama in Florida 38% to Obama’s 15%, Ohio 40% to Obama’s 12% & Pennsylvania 32% to Obama’s 18%.

Scott Keeter explores the issue at the Pew Research Center.

Twenty years ago the survey research profession — having grown comfortable with telephone interviewing as an alternative to personal interviewing for conducting surveys — worried mostly about the roughly 7% of U.S. households that could not be interviewed because they had no telephone. Today our concern is somewhat different, and potentially more serious. According to government statistics released last month, nearly 13% of U.S. households (12.8%) cannot now be reached by the typical telephone survey because they have only a cell phone and no landline telephone.

New national polling conducted by USA Today/Gallup shows Hillary Clinton (33%) with double-digit leads over Barack Obama (21%) if Al Gore is in the running (which he hasn’t but pollsters asked anyway). With Gore out of the race the lead grows by 1% with Clinton at 39% & Obama at 26% putting Edwards at a distant third.

Meanwhile Fred Thompson, who also isn’t officially running but almost definitely will, came in second for Republicans with 19% over McCain at 18%. It is not statistically significant but most believe Thompson will receive a further boost when he actually announces and is further evidence that McCain, who entered the race as the presumptive front-runner, is in trouble. Giuliani still is the favorite with 28%.