CIRCLE Report: Youth Turnout in New Hampshire


January 9th, 2008

From CIRCLE, the youth vote increased in the New Hampshire primary to 43% of eligible voters 30 and under, up from 18% in 2004 and 28% in 2000 based on exit polls conducted in the state. That numbers equates to 84,232 young people or 16% of the overall vote.

Specifically young people represented 18% of the total Democratic vote and 14% of the overall Republican vote.

For Democrats young people between the ages of 18-24 went 60% for Senator Obama compared to 22% for Senator Clinton and 9% for former Senator Edwards. Meanwhile young people between the ages of 24-30 spread 37% for Clinton, 35% for Obama and 18% for Edwards.

Check out the CIRCLE page for more information.

For the Republicans young people between the ages of 18-24 went 27% for John McCain and then spread 19% for Ron Paul, 17% for Mitt Romney and 15% for Mike Huckabee. Meanwhile young people between the ages of 24-30 went 37% for John McCain, 33% for Mitt Romney, 15% for Ron Paul and 15% for Mike Huckabee.

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Nevada Union Endorsement Now Torn


January 9th, 2008

Culinary Workers Local 226, Nevada’s largest and most politically active union has yet to make its endorsement in the Democratic Race. NBC’s Tim Russert had asserted on the Today Show that the union was going to come out for Barack Obama, but with Hillary Clinton’s upset in New Hampshire the Politico is reporting the decision hasn’t yet been made.

The union represents from 60,000 casino and hotel workers.

Meanwhile Ben Smith at the Politico reports that the SEIU union in Nevada has come out for Barack Obama. It only has a quarter of the members of the Culinary union.

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Matthews Sees Racism In Obama Loss


January 9th, 2008

After a few days of commentators on MSNBC praising Barack Obama’s strategy of not using race to divide the electorate, host Chris Matthews appeared on the networks Morning Joe program and claimed New Hampshire voters lied to pollsters because they were afraid to admit their racist feelings about voting for an african american. What are they putting in the water over there?

It wasn’t the only odd bit of logic or outrageous claim made by Matthews this morning. Rapid City Journal also saw the broadcast and recapped it quite well.

“She didn’t win on her merit,” Matthews said. “It was about the humiliation of Bill Clinton.”

Well,OK. But it doesn’t say much about Hillary, or New York voters.

Nor does Matthews’ position on the alleged polling lies say much about the strong turnout of women voters for Hillary in New Hampshire. But Matthews has it figured: Dumb voters in New York. Racists liars in New Hampshire. And a woman who isn’t even qualified for the Senate now back in the race for president. It beats simply saying you were wrong, I guess.

Matthews also said that from now on Obama would have to take 10% “off the white vote” in remaining states when looking at polls.

If video turns up I will be quick to post it!

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Next Up: Michigan


January 9th, 2008

The next primary is in Michigan on January 15th.

For Republicans it has been looking like a race between Senator John McCain & Governor Mitt Romney.

For Democrats Richardson, Edwards & Obama skipped the Michigan primary because of the states violation of DNC rules leaving only Hillary Clinton as a major contender who will appear on the ballot. She is joined on the ballot with Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich & Chris Dodd (who dropped out last week).

Kucinich will appear in the state to fundraise and campaign, Clinton will only send in surrogates.

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On Getting Things Wrong in New Hampshire


January 9th, 2008

It is almost impossible to convey just how wrong everyone, including me, got it wrong in New Hampshire. Just dead wrong! Goes to show what any of us know.

When it comes to Senator Clinton I have to say this. I have never seen anyone take such a massive beating in the press, on the blogs, by her opponents, by the people themselves showing up to boo and protest, than she took after Iowa. When people asked me what the signifigance was going to be from Iowa I did not say it was delegates, I did not say it was a sense of the electorate, I did not say it was anything substantial when it comes to voting. I said it would be the media that would go on to crown the winner the victor and pummel the opposition. Boy was that an understatement.

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