Nevada Union Endorsement Now Torn


January 9th, 2008

Culinary Workers Local 226, Nevada’s largest and most politically active union has yet to make its endorsement in the Democratic Race. NBC’s Tim Russert had asserted on the Today Show that the union was going to come out for Barack Obama, but with Hillary Clinton’s upset in New Hampshire the Politico is reporting the decision hasn’t yet been made.

The union represents from 60,000 casino and hotel workers.

Meanwhile Ben Smith at the Politico reports that the SEIU union in Nevada has come out for Barack Obama. It only has a quarter of the members of the Culinary union.

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New Hampshire Poll Roundup


January 7th, 2008

USA Today/Gallup
Dems: Obama 41, Clinton 28, Edwards 19.

GOP: McCain 34, Romney 30, Huckabee 13, Paul 8, Giuliani 8.

CBS - Obama - 35%, Clinton - 28%, Edwards - 28%
With Independents Obama leads Clinton, 41% - 24%
With Democrats Clinton leads Obama 33% - 30%

Rasmussen

Obama 33%, Clinton - 28%, Edwards - 18%
Obama wins out Independents 2-1 over Clinton
With Democrats they are about even

McCain - 32%, Romney - 31%, Huckabee - 11%, Giuliani - 10%, Paul - 8%, Thompson - 3%
Independents will make up an estimated 27% of the Republican primary vote which is down from 32%. Independents are more likely to vote for Barack Obama than John McCain.

Marist
Dems: Obama 36, Clinton 28, Edwards 22. Error margin: 4 points.

GOP: McCain 35, Romney 31, Huckabee 13. Error margin: 4.5 points.

Nationally
Rassmussen

Clinton - 33%, Obama - 29%, Edwards - 20%

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Writing Clinton’s Demise


January 7th, 2008

Right now the a full page of “developing” information is on Drudge with increasing speculation of Senator Clinton’s demise. The gist is that the campaign is struggling internally over the possibility of an emanent exit, with James Carville fighting to keep going until after Feb. 5 and others fighting to exit before the “Clinton brand” is tarnished.

I honestly have no idea if any of this is true. Right now the Washington Post is reporting that Clinton is taking “unprecedented” control over her campaign, while Thomas B. Edsall writes for Huffington Post that the campaign is preparing for “trench warfare”. Edsall reports that the camp is ready to take on Obama in South Carolina and fight past Feb 5.

So, what do we know? Probably almost nothing other than Clinton has a tuff fight ahead of her if she choses to stay in. One thing is for certain, the Drudge reports that Edwards is staying in and fighting because he is hoping of an eminent Clinton exit because of quickly drying campaign funds is probably true. Watching Edwards in the debate this weekend his strategy was pretty clear. Emulate the Obama message but put himself out as the one capable of achieving it, marginalize and destroy Clinton so that he can walk into a two-man race and hopefully slay Obama.

Meanwhile is Clinton a completely lost cause? Democratic strategist Bob Shrum gives his thoughts.

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Edwards to Hold 36-Hour “Marathon For the Middle Class


January 6th, 2008

It looks like John Edwards will repeat the 36-Hour marathon he conducted before the Iowa caucus in New Hampshire. From the campaign:

ON HEELS OF COMMANDING DEBATE PERFORMANCE, JOHN AND ELIZABETH EDWARDS TO LAUNCH 36-HOUR NEW HAMPSHIRE “MARATHON FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS”

Manchester, New Hampshire – In the final hours leading up to the New Hampshire primary, John and Elizabeth Edwards will hold a 36-hour “Marathon for the Middle Class” in New Hampshire. Starting today at noon, John and Elizabeth will campaign for 36 hours straight to talk to thousands of voters at rallies and town halls across the Granite State.
As he makes his closing argument to New Hampshire voters, Senator Edwards will highlight his bold plans to stand up to the powerful entrenched interests and give hard-working, middle class families a voice in Washington.

“Families in New Hampshire and across America are struggling to afford the skyrocketing costs of health care, $100-a-barrel oil, and the rising cost of college,” Edwards said. “The truth is, middle class families are working harder everyday just to get by, and they deserve a president who works just has hard for the real change our country so desperately needs.

“Over the next 36 hours, I’m looking forward to meeting with New Hampshire voters who are as restless as I am for change – and who understand that making change happen is going to take a fight. If we don’t send someone into the White House who will fight for regular Americans, nothing is going to change. But if we stand up together, we can take on the entrenched interests and restore the promise of America.”

Edwards will kick off the “Marathon for the Middle Class” today at a town hall at noon in Manchester. Over the course of the next 36 hours, Edwards will crisscross the state meeting with voters and supporters in Keene, Derry, Nashua, Berlin, Claremont, Lakeport, Bedford, Hampton, Dover, Somersworth, Rochester, and Durham. The marathon will end with a Graniteroots event at the John Edwards for President office in Portsmouth at 12:30 AM on Tuesday.

On Friday morning, Edwards kicked off a four day “Main Street Express – Real Change Starts Now” tour. Leading up to the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, Edwards has been joined by his wife Elizabeth and their children Cate, Emma Claire and Jack as well as John’s parents Bobbie and Wallace. Today, Elizabeth joins Senator Edwards at the events in Manchester, Derry and Nashua, as well as the majority of events on Monday.

Also joining Edwards on the “Main Street Express” are Edwards’ supporters James and Cindy Lowe, Sandy Lakey, and the family of Nataline Sarkisyan, as well as celebrities Tim Robbins and Susan Sarandon.

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Democrat Candidates Favorite Debate Moments


January 6th, 2008

Which moments did the campaigns think were the best from last night? Easy to figure out, the ones they posted on their Web sites and YouTube. Check them out.

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