Well we have one day left in February so I thought I would go ahead and put together my monthly recap.

Little actually happened in the campaign this month. Some people announced their runs, No big surprises, and two candidates got into a spat, not such a big deal if you ask me. When David Geffen & Maureen Dowd are the epicenter of a political fight I wouldn’t exactly say it was substantive.

The spat did two things. First it filled a void of little to nothing major to report on this month. Sure there was Anna Nicole and Britney but not hard news. Nor was Obama and Hillary but without them somebody might actually have had to look into what is going on in Iran. I mean, someone other than Seymour Hersh.

The second thing it did was take all attention possible off the Republican candidates. The weekend before it happened it really looked like the many weeks of non-stop Democratic coverage was going to come to an end and Republicans would start making news. That never happened.

John McCain tried to really make waves. He called Donald Rumsfeld one of the Worst Secretaries of Defense ever and lambasted the administrations handling of Iraq. The problem? He actually made those exact comments a few months before. So it ended up not being a very big story.

Mitt Romney spent the month under the continued “when did you suddenly become so Republican?” cloud. A cloud that hasn’t gone away since the moment he announced he was ‘thinking’ about running. (He did take on a religious heckler, win the love of Jebb Bush & got credit for the first campaign tv ad, though Duncan Hunter actually got there first.) Meanwhile Giuliani has been touted as the golden boy of the party. The problem? At the moment we don’t really have the financial data to see what he is doing out there in terms of really raising support. Polling is great but sometimes you need a bit more and it is still too early to tell if that money is coming from big doners or the average Republican.

The only other big news? Tom Vilsack dropped out, which again wasn’t news at all seeing as how no one thought he had a shot in hell of winning anyway.

So my predictions? Same as last month my money still goes on Hillary Clinton. The David Geffen spat will pass and her fundraising will continue. I was never a big believer of the “liberal media” claim of conservatives. Big business owns that media. At the same time the bulletproof way that MOST, not all but MOST news outlets are framing Barack Obama seems to really be suspicious and makes me wonder.

With that said there is one big media outlet that has been attacking Senator Obama. That news organization? FOX News. Much had been made about reports that owner Rupert Murdoch had formed a friendship with Senator Clinton but it really has been showing on the network. It is an enterprise that was 24/7 anti-Clinton in the 90’s and I cannot tell you the last really vicious attack against Senator Clinton I have seen. The attacks on Senator Obama though? Those keep coming.

As for the Republican side? My money still goes on Senator John McCain. He looks like a sinking ship at the moment but here is my take. There will come a time in the near future, round about August, September, possibly later but I am guessing then, where Republicans will lift from their fog, look around at the candidates and suddenly go “wait a minute, we need a leader and we need a track record! We have to win this!” Giuliani won’t galvanize conservatives, Romney will scare moderates, McCain will be the safe bet.

Of course this could all change on a dime so just leave my speculation as that, simple speculation that will undoubtedly be wrong in the end.

That is your State of ‘08 February 2007 Wrap-up.